Managed by Dr. Peter Carter
Today's children are the first generation born into a climate changed Earth
Small children are the most vulnerable to all climate change impacts 1. At present and 2. Throughout their lives
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
A review of all IPCC policy approved assessments and reports reveals a shocking absence of attention to children.
There is no Special IPCC Report on children
The IPPC, for the past 5 years, by formal statements at the UN climate conferences (COPs), have called for the immediate rapid decline of global emissions, as in the 2022 6th IPCC Assessment.
Without the immediate global emissions decline, 2°C, as well as 1.5°C with be exceeded and by 2050
Keynote address by the IPCC Chair Hoesung Lee at the ceremonial opening of COP26 Glasgow (31 October 2021)
"Global warming of 1.5°C and 2°C will be exceeded during this century unless immediate, rapid, and large-scale reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, especially of carbon dioxide and methane, occur in the nearest future".
Remarks by IPCC Chair during the Opening ceremony COP28 (30 November 2023 by the new IPCC Chair Jim Skea)
"Without immediate and deep emissions reductions across all sectors, we will not meet the goals of the Paris Agreement".
IPCC Climate change assessments and special reports (from 1990 1st Assessment)
Assessments produce Summaries For Policy Makers (SPMs), that are condensed from comprehensive long scientists' reports.
The SPMs are scrutinized for approval and publication by Panel policy makers of all governments
Below is from the SPMs
Most recent IPCC 2018 1.5°C Special Report IPCC 6th Assessment (AR6, 2021)
The IPCC 1.5°C Report made the climate emergency clear, but no mention of children.
AR6 There are three assessment Working Groups are WG1:Science, WG2 Impacts Vulnerability, WG3 Mitigation
In the 6th Assessment
WG3 Mitigation: No specific mention of Children
WG1 Science: No specific mention of childen . A serious exclusion of children who are vulnerable by their anatomy and physiology
WG2 Impacts Vulnerability
There are only two mentions of children,
1. as being particularly impacted by extreme weather and 2. having climate change anxiety and stress
The WG2 covers risk, but there is no mention of children in the risk sections, including the Reason For Concern
Headline Statements do not not include children
The previous IPCC assessments
1990 1st Assessment
No mention of children
1995 Second Assessment
No mention of children
Overall children the risks and impacts of children, who are most vulnerable to all climate change impacts, are not represented in the IPCC Assessments.
Final Synthesis Report has one important image that applies
to children- warming and impacts over life-time, which offers
some compensation for absence in the working groups.
It states Adverse impacts from human caused climate change
will continue to intensity and it points out global warming
will continue after 2100.
The Synthesis very last paragraph C.1.3
mentions future generations
Continued emissions
will further affect all major climate system components,
and many changes will be irreversible on
centennial to millennial time scales
and become larger with increasing warming.
Without urgent, effective, and equitable mitigation
and adaptation actions, climate change increasingly threatens
ecosystems, biodiversity and the livelihoods
health and well-being of current and future generations.
There is a detailed important children coverage in a Working Group 2 FAQ
The FAQs are designed to help the public but they are not government approved, so won't affect policy
FAQ. 3. How will climate change affect the lives of today’s children tomorrow, if no immediate action is taken?
(Note the IPCC refers here to the AR6 finding that the 1.5°C and 2°C limits require immediate rapid decline of global emissions)
..., today’s children and future generations are more likely to be exposed and vulnerable to climate change and related risks such as flooding, heat stress, water scarcity, poverty, and hunger.
...Children are amongst those suffering the most, as we see today.
But what is our children’s future going to look like, if we do not limit global warming to well below 2°C, preferably to 1.5°C?
Its (climate change) impacts will intensify in the coming decades with profound implications for all aspects of human life around the world. Our food and water supplies, our cities, infrastructure and economies as well as our health and well-being will be affected.
For example: children aged ten or younger in the year 2020 are projected to experience a nearly four-fold increase in extreme events under 1.5°C of global warming by 2100, and a five-fold increase under 3°C warming.
(Note: As governments have taken no mitigation action, the world will be at globally disastrous 1.5°C around 2030.
and one billion children will at ‘extremely high risk’ of the impacts of the climate crisis (UNICEF, Child centred risk index, 2021)
That means a billion children will soon suffer large increases in major health impairments including death from climate change.
A billion children have an 'unlivable future', to quote the IPCC AR6
The IPCC says that a 2°C warming will be by 2050, which will be devastating and deady to several billion children in 2050
(This is because there is no prospect of government action avoid 2°C by 2050)
IPCC